Thursday, November 21, 2013

Governor Palin Hits Highest Favorability Poll Rating Since 2009 At 55.40%

Sarah Palin continues her seemingly inexorable polling rise as this analysis from 
Election (link at end of this page) shows.Over the 360 day polling period Palin has risen 5.55 points from 49.85%  to her current 55.40%

Governor Palin's latest EM poll rating finds her at heights not seen in four years at 55.40% Approval. 

This reinforces that buried amongst the statistics, and far from the headlines in the latest PPP Presidential Poll is this simple fact.

Governor Palin, not holding any office, with little media coverage and barely any speculation that she may run in 2016 is polling remarkably. Palin is ahead of Former Senator and high profile 2012 primary candidate Rick Santorum and Governor Jindal, and at 7% she is well within the margin of error, behind by only 2 points, of  Senator Marco Rubio and ex-VP candidate Paul Ryan.

In the most recent Alaska PPP poll, Palin's favourable rating with Republicans was 65%-20 points higher than her nearest 

This result is mirrored and reinforced by the cross tabs at the most recent 2013 CNN/ORC poll, presuming that the responders in this new poll LINK are mostly Republicans

The most important factor in the CNN poll LINK was an indicator of Palin's support from those who count-i.e. Republican voters. How did she fare with that group? Palin had a 58%-36% favorability ratio. 


                                 360 DAYS GRAPH


Now today's poll result at Election Meter.Com has her approval also at a significant level. 

The new 6000+ aggregate vote EM Poll gives Palin a 55.40% approval rating. This is her fourth rating above 45% by one point or more increases in this poll since 2010, and shows the long struggle against media distortion she has had to undertake. Still, the slow and steady rise continues-as Palin's polling over the last year indicates clearly.

Undertake the long struggle she has done indeed, and her tenacity seems to finally be paying, off as voters now are seeing her in a substantially positive light again.The following factors may also have been significant contributors to her continuous rise

Her strong statements on President Obama's handling of  the economy during and after the 2012 election have clearly elicited a  positive response. Voters look for strength of character and unwavering conviction which, whether one agrees with her views or not, Palin has in abundance

Her winning endorsements for high profile campaigns e.g. Deb Fischer's come from behind Senate primary wins, and Ted Cruz's remarkable rise in Texas- both of whom won their general election campaigns all with Palin's support. The perceived unfairness to Palin by the Romney team in hiring someone who has spoken negatively about to run his campaign, and of course their stonewalling Palin being invited to the Tampa convention

Yes certainly, the Election Meter poll is an on-line poll and can be discounted to a degree because of that. However, when Palin was at her absolute nadir in this poll in 2010 at 19.2% her enemies would have seized on it as being representative of a general feeling. 

There is some degree of validity to that view, although it is distorted and extreme, but on the other hand the steady, seemingly inexorable rise since then must also reflect a wider reality-which will of course be ignored by her enemies.

The longer term graphs which, because of the time frame involved, must be valid in the wider context they support. Surely the absolute polling height of 72% in 2008 was a genuine reflection of reality at that time.

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