Sunday, August 18, 2013

Confirming PPP (DEM) Poll In August Reputable Alaska Polling Firm Harper Showing Palin 1st Choice For Senate Nomination

PPP Polling , the Dem firm that polls for radical leftist site "Daily Kos" recently  polled Alaska and found, no doubt to their disappointment, that Sarah Palin is the first choice, in a split field, to be the GOP's candidate to take on sitting Dem senator Begich. 

PPP found Palin had 36% support which is actually an increase on the 32%support found for her candidacy in the harper poll in May-32%! Also, note Palin's 62% approval rating in Harper and 65% in PPP.

Alaska should be a top tier pick up opportunity for Senate Republicans next year…but their top choice of a candidate is Sarah Palin. 36% of GOP primary voters in the state say they’d like Palin to be their standard bearer against Mark Begich to 26% for Mead Treadwell, 15% for Dan Sullivan, and 12% for Joe Miller. Palin leads mostly based on her strength with ‘very conservative’ voters where she gets 43% to 20% for Treadwell, but she also leads him 28/25 with moderates.

Alaska Senate: GOP Primary

Conducted: May 6-7, 2013
Respondents: 379
Margin of Error:  +/-5.03%

NOTE: Our system for displaying graphics is undergoing updates to establish consistency with the ordering and coloring of the data.  Thank you for your patience.

Ballot Test: Palin Leads

Former Governor Sarah Palin leads a Republican primary ballot with the three most likely candidates: Palin, Lt. Governor Mead Treadwell and 2010 GOP Senate nominee Joe Miller.  Palin leads slightly among both men and women at +1% and +4% respectively.  Among voters who describe themselves as “very conservative”, Palin’s lead grows to 20% over Treadwell (43%-23%).
Miller v. Palin v. Treadwell32 %30 %24 %14 %PalinTreadwellNot
In a head-to-head match-up against Miller, who has officially formed an exploratory committee, Palin leads 52%-19%.  Treadwell leads Miller 45%-26% in a hypothetical match-up. 
Miller v. Palin52 %29 %19 %PalinNot

Conservatives' Pick

Additionally, the survey measured voter opinion about key characteristics of the three Republican candidates.  When asked which candidate would “fight hardest for conservative values”, voters decidedly chose Palin over Miller and Treadwell.
Fights Hardest for Conservative Values25 %15 %45 %15 %TreadwellMillerPalinNot
Among “somewhat conservative” and “very conservative” voters, Palin leads by +35% and +4% respectively.
When asked which candidate would be the “strongest person to take on liberal Democrats in Washington,” Alaska Republicans again picked Palin.
Strongest to take on Liberal Democrats16 %13 %43 %27 %Not

Candidate Images

Of the three candidates, Governor Palin boasts the strongest image with 62% of GOP voters holding a favorable opinion of her.
Palin Image7 %1 %30 %62 %Heard of her but have no opinionNever heard of
Miller Image49 %15 %2 %34 %UnfavorableHeard of him but have no opinionNever heard of
Treadwell Image12 %19 %54 %15 %Never heard of himHeard of him but have no