Tuesday, April 28, 2015

"If Palin Runs This Is Why She Wins the Nomination"-Brilliant Factual Exposition

"busybee01" at Conservatives4Palin posts extremely lucid and well thought out analyses of the political scene. Here is another which sets out, again clearly and lucidly, and backed by substantial facts gleaned from independent sources, which show why Governor Palin, should she run, has the best chance of winning the Republican nomination.

This study is based on a careful examination of the data behind the polls (which are, by the way,  from a Democratic party backing source so any bias is against her).

It is clearly a dispassionately researched consideration, and merits a similar reading and response no matter what the readers personal predilections are. Anything else is just hate and bias, and any comments ensuing from such  sources should be discarded whilst intelligent, cogent discussion is merited ensuing from this substantial analysis;

"As per the PPP poll that was cited yesterday, not only did she (Palin) have the highest approval, she had the broadest approval ratings.

To win a state primary, you will need to win 2 out of 3 among very conservative, somewhat conservative and moderate to liberal. Gingrich won South Carolina by winning very and somewhat conservative voters. Romney won Maryland by winning moderate to liberal voters and somewhat conservative voters.

The 2012 poll that was mentioned showed that she had 80% approval, 80% among Santorum supporters, 57% among Romney supporters and 47% among Ron Paul voters.

If you look at the no-names, they show the same general trend. They peak among very conservative voters, drop to around 50% among somewhat conservative voters and drop to around 30% among moderate to liberal voters. Palin peaks at 85% among very conservative voters.

She then drops to 72% which is still strong. She even leads in approvals among moderate to liberal Republican voters although it is narrow. This was also the pattern in 2012 as she was neck and neck with Romney for moderate to liberal voters as Romney held a 1-5% point lead.

The reason for that is the fact that Palin's reform agenda is supported by a broad swath of the electorate. She is seen as less partisan than someone like Ted Cruz and can reach out to a broader audience than any so-called conservative that is running."