Wednesday, March 20, 2013

Palin Hits Highest Favorability Polling In Four Years At 55%




This result is mirrored and reinforced by the cross tabs at the latest CNN/ORC poll. Presuming that the responders in this new Election-Meter.com poll are mostly Republicans

The most important factor in the CNN poll is an indicator of Palin's support from those who count-i.e. Republican voters. How did she fare with that group? Palin has a 58%-36% favorability ratio. The EM result is 55%-45%




30 DAYS GRAPH
180 DAYS GRAPH
ALL TIME GRAPH (FROM 2009)


"one interesting finding on this poll was that Sarah Palin is far more popular than any of the actual Republican candidates . Her net favorability is +48, with 68% of voters rating her favorably to only 20% with a negative opinion. That compares favorably to +29 for Santorum, +19 for Romney, and -26 for Paul.
Palin is someone GOP delegates might be able to unify around in the case of a hopelessly deadlocked convention. She is seen positively by Gingrich voters (85/7), Santorum supporters (80/10), and Romney ones (57/27) alike. "

Now a poll  at Election Meter.Com has her approval also at a significant level. 

The new 6,056 vote EM Poll AT THIS LINK gives Palin a 55% approval rating. This is her fifth rating above 50% by one point increases in this poll since 2012, and shows the long struggle against media distortion she has had to undertake. Still, the slow and steady rise continues-as Palin's polling over the last year indicates clearly.


Undertake the long struggle she has done indeed, and her tenacity seems to finally be paying, off as voters now are seeing her in a substantially positive light again.The following factors may also have been significant contributors to her continuous rise

Her strong statements on President Obama's handling of  the economy during the election have clearly elicited a  positive response. Voters look for strength of character and unwavering conviction which, whether one agrees with her views or not, Palin has in abundance


Her winning endorsements for high profile campaigns e.g. Deb Fischer's come from behind Senate primary wins, and Ted Cruz's remarkable rise in Texas- both of whom won their general election campaigns all with Palin's support. The perceived unfairness to Palin by the Romney team in hiring someone who has spoken negatively about to run his campaign, and of course their stonewalling Palin being invited to the Tampa convention

Yes certainly, the Election Meter poll is an on-line poll and can be discounted to a degree because of that. However, when Palin was at her absolute nadir in this poll in 2010 at 19.2% her enemies would have seized on it as being representative of a general feeling. 



There is some degree of validity to that view, although it is distorted and extreme, but on the other hand the steady, seemingly inexorable rise since then must also reflect a wider reality-which will of course be ignored by her enemies.


The longer term graphs which, because of the time frame involved, must be valid in the wider context they support. Surely the absolute polling height of 72% in 2008 ) was a genuine reflection of reality at that time.